Post by Wendy on May 12, 2012 20:25:43 GMT -5
Goodness, lets discuss Liasion..
There were just too many things working against that colt to see him as anything other than a very long shot to win the Kentucky Derby. Obviously, he did not. Anything’s possible in horse racing; a super-fast early pace could set things up for Liaison to get a piece of the action at the wire. But as a handicapper, it’s hard to get past the fact that this horse hasn’t won a race since December and has actually run worse in each of his starts in 2012. Additionally, he hasn't been close to Creative Cause in either of his last two races. And finally, he’s a son of Indian Charlie, a sire that generally doesn’t product horses that excel at distances over a mile.It’s tough to back a horse like that in the biggest race of the year.
Needless to say, his post 20 posistion did him no favors. Being post 20 (One further from the winner, this year! Maybe my point is invalid!) means having the furthest race, technically speaking, as he is furthest from the rail.
The pack generally runs toward the rail around the bend to shorten the track, meaning Liaison has the furthest to go to make up ground.
It's a death sentence of a draw for Liaison, basically.
He had NO chance, forget the 25/1 odds. A genious would know the colt wouldn't win. I can only atribute this to his compairasin to Big Brown.
There were just too many things working against that colt to see him as anything other than a very long shot to win the Kentucky Derby. Obviously, he did not. Anything’s possible in horse racing; a super-fast early pace could set things up for Liaison to get a piece of the action at the wire. But as a handicapper, it’s hard to get past the fact that this horse hasn’t won a race since December and has actually run worse in each of his starts in 2012. Additionally, he hasn't been close to Creative Cause in either of his last two races. And finally, he’s a son of Indian Charlie, a sire that generally doesn’t product horses that excel at distances over a mile.It’s tough to back a horse like that in the biggest race of the year.
Needless to say, his post 20 posistion did him no favors. Being post 20 (One further from the winner, this year! Maybe my point is invalid!) means having the furthest race, technically speaking, as he is furthest from the rail.
The pack generally runs toward the rail around the bend to shorten the track, meaning Liaison has the furthest to go to make up ground.
It's a death sentence of a draw for Liaison, basically.
He had NO chance, forget the 25/1 odds. A genious would know the colt wouldn't win. I can only atribute this to his compairasin to Big Brown.
